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Report / Fixed Income / Global

Rates, Duration and the New Bond Allocation

Published 2026-09-19 · BLOOMBERG WEALTH Research Desk

How duration, yield curves and credit spreads change the role of bonds in diversified portfolios.

Executive brief

A bond yield is not a guaranteed total return. Price changes, defaults, reinvestment and currency movements can offset contractual income.

Questions for due diligence

Test a rate increase, a steeper curve and wider credit spreads separately. Match cash flows to spending needs and liquidity constraints.

Scenario framework

  • Base case: review the stated assumptions for fixed income and record which evidence would change the assessment.
  • Stress case: consider weaker returns, reduced liquidity and higher costs together. An illustrative scenario is not a forecast.

Primary sources

Educational research brief. Scenarios are not forecasts or personalized advice. Follow the primary references for current data and methodology.

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